Appendix J
Potential Additional Votes in the 2000 and 2016 Elections
States listed above are designated safe states with vote margins greater than 5% and turnout less than the swing state average. ME, ND, NE, WI, & WY not included due to lack of registered voter information or use of the district system.
2000 Presidential Election - Possible Additional Votes with 5% Swing States
Swing State Average Turnout: 66.26%
| State | Winner | Dem Votes | Rep Votes | Total Vote | REG | Turnout | Margin | Add'l Dem | Add'l Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Rep | 692,611 | 941,173 | 1,666,272 | 2,528,963 | 65.89% | 14.92% | 3,915 | 5,320 |
| Alaska | Rep | 79,004 | 167,398 | 285,560 | 473,648 | 60.29% | 30.95% | 7,824 | 16,578 |
| Arkansas | Rep | 422,768 | 472,940 | 921,781 | 1,555,809 | 59.25% | 5.44% | 50,037 | 55,975 |
| Colorado | Rep | 738,227 | 883,748 | 1,741,368 | 2,641,990 | 65.91% | 8.36% | 3,906 | 4,676 |
| Delaware | Dem | 180,068 | 137,288 | 327,622 | 503,614 | 65.05% | 13.06% | 3,338 | 2,545 |
| District of Col. | Dem | 171,923 | 18,073 | 201,894 | 354,410 | 56.97% | 76.20% | 28,048 | 2,949 |
| Hawaii | Dem | 205,286 | 137,845 | 367,951 | 637,349 | 57.73% | 18.33% | 30,326 | 20,363 |
| Indiana | Rep | 901,980 | 1,245,836 | 2,199,302 | 3,994,910 | 55.05% | 15.63% | 183,622 | 253,622 |
| Kansas | Rep | 399,276 | 622,332 | 1,072,218 | 1,623,623 | 66.04% | 20.80% | 1,339 | 2,086 |
| Kentucky | Rep | 638,898 | 872,492 | 1,544,187 | 2,556,815 | 60.39% | 15.13% | 62,044 | 84,729 |
| Louisiana | Rep | 792,344 | 927,871 | 1,765,656 | 2,796,551 | 63.14% | 7.68% | 39,194 | 45,897 |
| Michigan | Dem | 2,170,418 | 1,953,139 | 4,232,501 | 6,859,332 | 61.70% | 5.13% | 160,245 | 144,203 |
| Mississippi | Rep | 404,614 | 572,844 | 994,184 | 1,739,858 | 57.14% | 16.92% | 64,566 | 91,411 |
| Montana | Rep | 137,126 | 240,178 | 410,997 | 698,260 | 58.86% | 25.07% | 17,239 | 30,195 |
| New York | Dem | 4,107,697 | 2,403,374 | 6,821,999 | 11,262,816 | 60.57% | 24.98% | 385,807 | 225,732 |
| North Carolina | Rep | 1,257,692 | 1,631,163 | 2,911,262 | 5,122,123 | 56.84% | 12.83% | 208,512 | 270,430 |
| Oklahoma | Rep | 474,276 | 744,337 | 1,234,229 | 2,233,602 | 55.26% | 21.88% | 94,436 | 148,210 |
| Rhode Island | Dem | 249,508 | 130,555 | 409,112 | 671,612 | 60.91% | 29.08% | 21,893 | 11,456 |
| South Carolina | Rep | 565,561 | 785,937 | 1,382,717 | 2,266,199 | 61.01% | 15.94% | 48,619 | 67,564 |
| Texas | Rep | 2,433,746 | 3,799,639 | 6,407,637 | 10,267,639 | 62.41% | 21.32% | 150,295 | 234,645 |
| West Virginia | Rep | 295,497 | 336,475 | 648,124 | 1,066,349 | 60.78% | 6.32% | 26,644 | 30,339 |
| Totals | 17,318,520 | 19,024,637 | 37,546,573 | 61,855,472 | 1,591,850 | 1,748,926 | |||
| Potential Additional Rep Votes: 157,075 | |||||||||
2016 Presidential Election - Possible Additional Votes with 5% Swing States
Swing State Average Turnout: 70.24%
| State | Winner | Dem Votes | Rep Votes | Total Vote | REG | Turnout | Margin | Add'l Dem | Add'l Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Rep | 729,547 | 1,318,255 | 2,123,372 | 3,333,058 | 63.71% | 27.73% | 74,821 | 135,197 |
| Alaska | Rep | 116,454 | 163,387 | 318,608 | 528,560 | 60.28% | 14.73% | 19,245 | 27,001 |
| Arkansas | Rep | 380,494 | 684,872 | 1,130,676 | 1,759,982 | 64.24% | 26.92% | 35,515 | 63,925 |
| Indiana | Rep | 1,033,126 | 1,557,286 | 2,734,958 | 4,829,243 | 56.63% | 19.17% | 248,219 | 374,154 |
| Kansas | Rep | 427,005 | 671,018 | 1,184,402 | 1,817,927 | 65.15% | 20.60% | 33,352 | 52,411 |
| Kentucky | Rep | 628,854 | 1,202,971 | 1,924,149 | 3,306,120 | 58.20% | 29.84% | 130,098 | 248,872 |
| Louisiana | Rep | 780,154 | 1,178,638 | 2,029,032 | 3,023,241 | 67.11% | 19.64% | 36,332 | 54,889 |
| Mississippi | Rep | 485,131 | 700,714 | 1,209,357 | 2,085,757 | 57.98% | 17.83% | 102,565 | 148,143 |
| Missouri | Rep | 1,071,068 | 1,594,511 | 2,808,605 | 4,223,787 | 66.49% | 18.64% | 60,323 | 89,804 |
| Ohio | Rep | 2,394,164 | 2,841,005 | 5,496,487 | 7,861,025 | 69.92% | 8.13% | 10,932 | 12,972 |
| Oklahoma | Rep | 420,375 | 949,136 | 1,452,992 | 2,157,450 | 67.35% | 36.39% | 18,054 | 40,762 |
| South Carolina | Rep | 855,373 | 1,155,389 | 2,103,027 | 3,129,467 | 67.20% | 14.27% | 38,685 | 52,253 |
| South Dakota | Rep | 117,458 | 227,721 | 370,093 | 595,126 | 62.19% | 29.79% | 15,210 | 29,488 |
| Tennessee | Rep | 870,695 | 1,522,925 | 2,508,027 | 4,110,318 | 61.02% | 26.01% | 131,596 | 230,173 |
| Texas | Rep | 3,877,868 | 4,685,047 | 8,969,226 | 15,101,087 | 59.39% | 9.00% | 708,097 | 855,488 |
| West Virginia | Rep | 188,794 | 489,371 | 714,423 | 1,274,887 | 56.04% | 42.07% | 47,846 | 124,022 |
| Connecticut | Dem | 897,572 | 673,215 | 1,644,920 | 2,357,733 | 69.77% | 13.64% | 6,085 | 4,564 |
| Delaware | Dem | 235,603 | 185,127 | 443,814 | 675,663 | 65.69% | 11.37% | 16,335 | 12,836 |
| District of Col. | Dem | 282,830 | 12,723 | 311,268 | 478,688 | 65.03% | 86.78% | 22,682 | 1,020 |
| Hawaii | Dem | 266,891 | 128,847 | 428,937 | 749,917 | 57.20% | 32.18% | 60,856 | 29,379 |
| Illinois | Dem | 3,090,729 | 2,146,015 | 5,536,424 | 8,029,847 | 68.95% | 17.06% | 57,914 | 40,212 |
| Maryland | Dem | 1,677,928 | 943,169 | 2,781,446 | 3,970,645 | 70.05% | 26.42% | 4,546 | 2,555 |
| New Jersey | Dem | 2,148,278 | 1,601,933 | 3,874,046 | 5,808,260 | 66.70% | 14.10% | 114,054 | 85,048 |
| New Mexico | Dem | 385,234 | 319,667 | 798,319 | 1,289,420 | 61.91% | 8.21% | 51,812 | 42,993 |
| New York | Dem | 4,556,118 | 2,819,533 | 7,721,442 | 12,493,250 | 61.80% | 22.49% | 621,816 | 384,808 |
| Rhode Island | Dem | 252,525 | 180,543 | 464,144 | 770,875 | 60.21% | 15.51% | 42,066 | 30,075 |
| Vermont | Dem | 178,573 | 95,369 | 315,067 | 471,619 | 66.81% | 26.41% | 9,181 | 4,903 |
| Totals | 28,348,841 | 30,048,387 | 61,397,261 | 96,232,952 | 2,718,235 | 3,177,948 | |||
| Potential Additional Rep Votes: 459,714 | |||||||||