Appendix J

Potential Additional Votes in the 2000 and 2016 Elections

States listed above are designated safe states with vote margins greater than 5% and turnout less than the swing state average. ME, ND, NE, WI, & WY not included due to lack of registered voter information or use of the district system.

2000 Presidential Election - Possible Additional Votes with 5% Swing States

Swing State Average Turnout: 66.26%

State Winner Dem Votes Rep Votes Total Vote REG Turnout Margin Add'l Dem Add'l Rep
AlabamaRep692,611941,1731,666,2722,528,96365.89%14.92%3,9155,320
AlaskaRep79,004167,398285,560473,64860.29%30.95%7,82416,578
ArkansasRep422,768472,940921,7811,555,80959.25%5.44%50,03755,975
ColoradoRep738,227883,7481,741,3682,641,99065.91%8.36%3,9064,676
DelawareDem180,068137,288327,622503,61465.05%13.06%3,3382,545
District of Col.Dem171,92318,073201,894354,41056.97%76.20%28,0482,949
HawaiiDem205,286137,845367,951637,34957.73%18.33%30,32620,363
IndianaRep901,9801,245,8362,199,3023,994,91055.05%15.63%183,622253,622
KansasRep399,276622,3321,072,2181,623,62366.04%20.80%1,3392,086
KentuckyRep638,898872,4921,544,1872,556,81560.39%15.13%62,04484,729
LouisianaRep792,344927,8711,765,6562,796,55163.14%7.68%39,19445,897
MichiganDem2,170,4181,953,1394,232,5016,859,33261.70%5.13%160,245144,203
MississippiRep404,614572,844994,1841,739,85857.14%16.92%64,56691,411
MontanaRep137,126240,178410,997698,26058.86%25.07%17,23930,195
New YorkDem4,107,6972,403,3746,821,99911,262,81660.57%24.98%385,807225,732
North CarolinaRep1,257,6921,631,1632,911,2625,122,12356.84%12.83%208,512270,430
OklahomaRep474,276744,3371,234,2292,233,60255.26%21.88%94,436148,210
Rhode IslandDem249,508130,555409,112671,61260.91%29.08%21,89311,456
South CarolinaRep565,561785,9371,382,7172,266,19961.01%15.94%48,61967,564
TexasRep2,433,7463,799,6396,407,63710,267,63962.41%21.32%150,295234,645
West VirginiaRep295,497336,475648,1241,066,34960.78%6.32%26,64430,339
Totals 17,318,52019,024,637 37,546,57361,855,472 1,591,8501,748,926
Potential Additional Rep Votes: 157,075

2016 Presidential Election - Possible Additional Votes with 5% Swing States

Swing State Average Turnout: 70.24%

State Winner Dem Votes Rep Votes Total Vote REG Turnout Margin Add'l Dem Add'l Rep
AlabamaRep729,5471,318,2552,123,3723,333,05863.71%27.73%74,821135,197
AlaskaRep116,454163,387318,608528,56060.28%14.73%19,24527,001
ArkansasRep380,494684,8721,130,6761,759,98264.24%26.92%35,51563,925
IndianaRep1,033,1261,557,2862,734,9584,829,24356.63%19.17%248,219374,154
KansasRep427,005671,0181,184,4021,817,92765.15%20.60%33,35252,411
KentuckyRep628,8541,202,9711,924,1493,306,12058.20%29.84%130,098248,872
LouisianaRep780,1541,178,6382,029,0323,023,24167.11%19.64%36,33254,889
MississippiRep485,131700,7141,209,3572,085,75757.98%17.83%102,565148,143
MissouriRep1,071,0681,594,5112,808,6054,223,78766.49%18.64%60,32389,804
OhioRep2,394,1642,841,0055,496,4877,861,02569.92%8.13%10,93212,972
OklahomaRep420,375949,1361,452,9922,157,45067.35%36.39%18,05440,762
South CarolinaRep855,3731,155,3892,103,0273,129,46767.20%14.27%38,68552,253
South DakotaRep117,458227,721370,093595,12662.19%29.79%15,21029,488
TennesseeRep870,6951,522,9252,508,0274,110,31861.02%26.01%131,596230,173
TexasRep3,877,8684,685,0478,969,22615,101,08759.39%9.00%708,097855,488
West VirginiaRep188,794489,371714,4231,274,88756.04%42.07%47,846124,022
ConnecticutDem897,572673,2151,644,9202,357,73369.77%13.64%6,0854,564
DelawareDem235,603185,127443,814675,66365.69%11.37%16,33512,836
District of Col.Dem282,83012,723311,268478,68865.03%86.78%22,6821,020
HawaiiDem266,891128,847428,937749,91757.20%32.18%60,85629,379
IllinoisDem3,090,7292,146,0155,536,4248,029,84768.95%17.06%57,91440,212
MarylandDem1,677,928943,1692,781,4463,970,64570.05%26.42%4,5462,555
New JerseyDem2,148,2781,601,9333,874,0465,808,26066.70%14.10%114,05485,048
New MexicoDem385,234319,667798,3191,289,42061.91%8.21%51,81242,993
New YorkDem4,556,1182,819,5337,721,44212,493,25061.80%22.49%621,816384,808
Rhode IslandDem252,525180,543464,144770,87560.21%15.51%42,06630,075
VermontDem178,57395,369315,067471,61966.81%26.41%9,1814,903
Totals 28,348,84130,048,387 61,397,26196,232,952 2,718,2353,177,948
Potential Additional Rep Votes: 459,714